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We’ve all probably heard a friend say "I've got the best system, you gotta try it" or overheard someone talking about their fool-proof system in a bar. What were they talking about? Do they actually have a way to beat the sportsbook? What is a sports betting system?
All of these are great questions that I'm going to explore here. I'm going to walk you through the basics of what a sports betting system is, why you might want to look into using one, and how you can go about developing your own system. Whether you’ve never heard of sports betting systems before or you’re looking to expand your existing base of knowledge, we’ve got you covered.
The Basics of a Sports Betting System – What Is It?
A sports betting system is a collection of repeated practices or rules that a sports bettor will do or use in order to make winning sports betting picks. Let’s look at a few simplified examples to make this easier to understand.
If you decide that you are going to bet all NFL home underdogs when the spread is greater than 7 points, you’re using a sports betting system. If you decide that you’re going to bet all state champion wrestlers during their UFC debut, you’re using a sports betting system. If you choose to bet any NFL home team that is favored by three to seven points and is coming off of two straight road wins against opponents that have a home record above .500 only if their opponent has a losing road record on the season, you are using a sports betting system.
Basically, any set of parameters that you come up with that helps you to pick winners is a sports betting system. The system can be simple like the first two examples, or it can be much more complex like the third example we gave. Believe it or not, sports betting systems can get even more complex than this by using a lot of complex formulas and math to try and calculate value and winners.
Sports betting systems can be made up of as many or as few parameters as the creator sees fit. Additionally, there is no limit to what these parameters can be. They can include things like past wins/losses, team stats, matchup statistics, weather conditions, playoff implications, individual player stats, game location, or literally anything that the creator deems as having an effect on the outcome of the game.
Sports betting systems can be a check-off system or a mathematical formula that produces a desired line.
Are like the examples we gave above. Basically, if a game meets all the criteria that you deem necessary, it becomes a game that you will bet.
Are usually formulas that will tell you the likelihood that a team will win a game. This number will typically be presented as an implied probability percentage. You then compare this implied probability against the lines that the sportsbook is offering you to see if there is enough value for you to make the bet.
Additionally, the amount that a bettor bets on a game could also be dependent on their system. If the game comes in as a big opportunity, the system might call for a bigger bet, whereas a lesser opportunity might call for a smaller bet.
Where Sports Betting Systems Come From?
The next logical question to ask is where these sports betting systems come from. Well, they are created either by professional sports bettors or by sports bettors like yourself. You’re not going to find these systems posted online somewhere. Why? Well, the value of the system goes away if everyone is jumping on the bandwagon every time there is an opportunity. All of the lines will instantly correct, and the opportunity will go away.
For this reason, anyone who comes up with a winning system will usually keep that system to themselves. Sometimes they will sell their picks (or give them away for free on rare occasions), but they will never let you see their system. Think of it like KFC. They are happy to sell you their chicken, but they aren’t going to give you access to the Colonel’s secret recipe.
As you might guess, coming up with a winning system is not easy. If it were easy, there would be no value in sports betting because everyone would be crushing the books until all the good opportunities dried up. It would be near impossible to get your hands on any value unless you were the quickest bettor in the land. The sportsbooks would also put out perfect lines because their system would be flawless.
You’ll get a much better idea of how they are created when we talk about building your own sports betting system in the section below.
The Benefits of a Sports Betting System – Why Use Them?
Before we talk about how to build your own sports betting system, you probably want to know why you would invest your time into creating one. Is it right for you? Is there a strong enough benefit there to make it worth your while? To answer these questions and more, let’s take a look at some of the benefits of using a sports betting system to make your picks and bets.
Find a Winner, and You’ll Print Money
If you’re good enough to develop a winning sports betting strategy, you’re going to have a money printer. The point of a sports betting system is that it has checks and balances that make it profitable under any condition. This means that once you are able to develop a winning strategy, you can start pressing your bets and winning big.
THIS IS WHAT THE PROFESSIONAL BETTORS DO:
They’re constantly working to better their sports betting system to try and make it as efficient and effective as possible. If you have hopes of crushing the books, this is what you should be doing as well.
This should be the first and the last benefit on this list. When you develop a winning sports betting strategy, you have a sure-fire way to continually make money betting on sports. Isn’t that everyone’s end goal?
Removes Emotion from the Equation
When your system has parameters rooted in statistics, it makes it hard for emotion to come into play. The only way that emotion can creep in is if you are undisciplined and refuse to stick to your system. If you’ve got self-discipline problems, though, you probably shouldn’t be anywhere near a sportsbook until you get that under control.
One of the biggest reasons that new and even experienced sports bettors fall is that they let the media, others’ emotional opinions, and their own emotional responses creep in and mess up their judgment. When you have a sports betting system that you are confident in, this doesn’t happen.
Forces Immersion into Stats
As you’ll see in the coming section, sports betting systems are heavily reliant on statistics. Instead of using your gut to make picks, you’re using a system that has hard and fast parameters in place. In order to create that system, it will force you to dig into the stats of the sports you are looking to bet.
This will inevitably make you a much more educated sports bettor. It will help you to find trends, patterns, and other factors that you might not be aware of. Employ these findings in your betting system, and you’re going to have a lot more success. You see, “feel” bettors have a tendency to avoid taking the time to look at stats. Whether this is out of ignorance of their availability, arrogance, or laziness, we don’t know. Regardless of the cause, it’s not a smart way to place a sports bet.
The more informed and knowledgeable you are about the sport you are betting, the better picks you’re going to make, and the better your sports betting system will be. Even if you don’t develop a system, just the act of trying to create one will make you a much higher-level sports bettor, which will most likely reflect in your results.
Gives Structure to Your Betting
Ever feel completely lost when you’re sports betting? Ever feel like you’re just throwing darts at the wall, or you’re just not sure where to start every week? Sports betting systems help to alleviate this problem by giving your betting structure. When you have a winning system or at least a system that you are testing, you have a jumping-off point every week. You know exactly what sport to start with, which games to look at, and what you’re looking for.
Even if you aren’t leaning heavily on your sports betting system, it still gets you into the stats and helps you to get your week of research started properly. Structure is not necessary to win at sports betting, but it’s something that the most successful bettors have in common.
Sports betting systems are a great way to add structure to your sports betting and provide a fantastic, emotion-free way of crushing the books. Developing your own system definitely has its benefits, but it will require a lot of hard work, research, and some expertise. If you’re ready to take your sports betting to the next level, look into developing a sports betting system or better collaborating on one with other bettors.
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